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National Population Projections: 2006 (base) - 2061
Embargoed until 10:45am  –  24 October 2007
Highlights
  • New Zealand's population will reach five million by the late 2020s, according to the mid-range projection scenario (series 5).
  • The population growth rate will slow steadily under all projection scenarios because of the narrowing gap between births and deaths.
  • Deaths are projected to exceed births in the 2050s under series 5.
  • The age structure of the population will continue to undergo gradual but significant changes resulting in more older people and further ageing of the population.
  • Under all projection scenarios, the number of New Zealanders aged 65 years and over is projected to exceed one million by the late 2020s, compared with half a million in 2006.
  • People aged 65 years and over are projected to outnumber those aged under 15 years in the mid-2020s.

Graph, New Zealand Population.

Graph, Age Distribution of Population.

Geoff Bascand

24 October 2007

Government Statistician

ISSN 1178-0584

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