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National Population Projections: 2009 (base)–2061
Embargoed until 10:45am  –  27 October 2009
Highlights

Under all projection series:

  • Population growth will slow because of the narrowing gap between births and deaths.
  • The population age structure will continue to gradually but significantly change, resulting in more older people and further ageing of the population.

 

Under mid-range projection series 5:

  • New Zealand's population is projected to eclipse 5 million in the mid-2020s and reach 5.75 million by 2061.
  • The population aged 65+ will increase from 550,000 in 2009 to 1 million in the late 2020s, and will exceed the number of children aged 0–14 years.
  • One in five New Zealanders will be aged 65+ by 2031, compared with one in eight in 2009.
Graph

 Graph

 Cathryn Ashley-Jones 27 October 2009
 Acting Government Statistician ISSN 1178-0584
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