Stats NZ has a new website.

For new releases go to

www.stats.govt.nz

As we transition to our new site, you'll still find some Stats NZ information here on this archive site.

  • Share this page to Facebook
  • Share this page to Twitter
  • Share this page to Google+
Territorial Authority Population Projections: 2013(base)–2043 update – tables

The following tables are available in Excel format from the ‘Downloads’ box. If you have problems viewing the file, see opening files and PDFs.

1. Territorial Authority – Summary of population projections, 2013(base)–2043 update
2. Territorial Authority – Projected population by age and sex at 30 June, 2013(base)–2043 (high, medium, low)

Territorial authority population projections give an indication of the future population of New Zealand’s 67 territorial authority areas. The updated 2013-base subnational population projections (released December 2016) have as a base the estimated resident population of each area at 30 June 2013, and cover the period to 2043 at five-year intervals. These supersede the 2013-base subnational population projections (released February 2015).

We have produced three alternative projections (designated low, medium, and high) for each area using different fertility, mortality, and migration assumptions. At the time of release, we consider the medium projection suitable for assessing future population changes. The medium projection is consistent with the median (50th percentile) of the National Population Projections: 2016(base)–2068 (released October 2016). However, customers can decide which projections are most suitable for their own purposes.

You can assess the impact on population size and structure resulting from more conservative and optimistic demographic scenarios using the low and high projections, respectively. They are independent of the national population projections as they represent plausible alternative scenarios for each area. As a result, the low and high population projections at the subnational level do not necessarily sum to low and high population projections at broader geographic levels. The low projection uses low fertility, high mortality, and low net migration for each area. The high projection uses high fertility, low mortality, and high net migration for each area.

Published 14 December 2016

  • Share this page to Facebook
  • Share this page to Twitter
  • Share this page to Google+
Top
  • Share this page to Facebook
  • Share this page to Twitter
  • Share this page to Google+